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Red6
34071.8
25187.5
223211.6
Blue15
28468.1
37834.3
30901.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1914051025303540615

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2232
#29
11.61.2
9.07.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
8.10.1
7.77.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2518
#44
7.50.7
7.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
3783
#15
4.30.1
4.24.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3407
#40
1.81.2
3.62.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3090
#56
1.30.1
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End