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Red38
301817.5
25453.6
32993.5
Blue27
25024.8
25187.5
25091.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21120515253035403827

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.8
15.015.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
2518
#44
7.50.7
7.28.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2545
#22
3.61.4
3.24.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2502
#20
4.81.1
4.15.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3299
#33
3.51.3
3.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2509
#63
1.71.2
0.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End