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Red20
205216.4
32441.7
24703.6
Blue21
25003.7
28468.1
363010.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123010304050602021

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.0
15.115.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
3630
#21
10.80.2
11.111.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2470
#45
3.60.0
3.73.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
8.10.1
8.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3244
#58
1.70.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2500
#31
3.70.1
3.83.7
Auto
Teleop
End