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Red70
301817.5
205216.4
40217.5
Blue74
253016.2
253813.1
223211.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38352030405060707074

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.5
16.416.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2530
#12
16.20.6
14.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
16.40.5
15.315.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
13.10.6
11.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4021
#41
7.50.7
6.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
2232
#29
11.60.8
9.710.5
Auto
Teleop
End