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Red70
205216.4
40217.5
301817.5
Blue83
253016.2
223211.6
253813.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39382030506070807083

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.5
16.917.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2530
#12
16.20.7
15.316.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
16.40.5
15.916.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
13.10.7
12.213.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4021
#41
7.50.7
6.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
2232
#29
11.61.0
10.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End