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Red0
38624.7
36865.2
38581.8
Blue10
33303.5
11785.7
13294.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99051520010

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3686
#21
5.20.7
4.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
5.70.0
2.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3862
#37
4.70.7
1.91.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1329
#29
4.60.0
6.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3858
#41
1.80.7
2.92.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3330
#36
3.50.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End