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Red6
43567.7
14444.1
42325.1
Blue3
38683.8
9317.1
43295.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81305101520253063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4356
#28
7.70.2
2.72.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
931
#10
7.10.6
7.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5.10.2
2.72.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
5.80.8
2.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1444
#32
4.10.2
2.52.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3868
#14
3.80.8
2.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End