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Red3
41964.2
43295.8
44021.6
Blue10
42568.8
11785.7
38624.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6602481012310

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5.80.3
1.71.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
4256
#17
8.80.3
2.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4196
#35
4.20.3
3.53.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
5.70.3
2.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4402
#38
1.60.3
0.80.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
3862
#37
4.70.3
1.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End