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Red3
41542.9
17062.8
43295.8
Blue1
33975.4
13294.6
43310.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1013051520253031

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5.80.6
1.50.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3397
#23
5.41.1
7.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4154
#19
2.90.6
4.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1329
#29
4.61.1
4.93.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1706
#39
2.80.6
4.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
4331
#34
0.91.1
1.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End