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Red16
38581.8
13294.6
198517.1
Blue33
24084.4
29785.4
43305.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167051020253035401633

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.10.1
13.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
4330
#18
5.82.1
2.34.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1329
#29
4.60.2
3.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2978
#15
5.42.1
2.74.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3858
#41
1.80.2
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2408
#26
4.42.1
2.54.6
Auto
Teleop
End