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Red27
43305.8
13294.6
18107.9
Blue5
33975.4
27833.1
35191.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13100203040275

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#16
7.90.6
6.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3397
#23
5.40.4
5.34.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4330
#18
5.81.1
4.45.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
2783
#42
3.10.3
1.61.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1329
#29
4.61.1
3.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1.50.4
3.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End