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Red22
41542.9
198710.3
43310.9
Blue15
32849.0
38581.8
42466.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12130203040502215

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.30.5
10.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
3284
#30
9.00.1
8.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4154
#19
2.90.8
1.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
4246
#24
6.30.1
4.24.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4331
#34
0.90.8
0.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3858
#41
1.80.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End