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Red22
43305.8
198517.1
9317.1
Blue18
38624.7
41874.0
128812.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2719010304050602218

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.10.3
14.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1288
#20
12.90.1
10.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
931
#10
7.10.3
6.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
3862
#37
4.70.0
3.63.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4330
#18
5.80.4
6.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4187
#22
4.00.1
4.14.1
Auto
Teleop
End