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Red3
28382.7
41542.9
33303.5
Blue28
44021.6
9317.1
43567.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11130515202530328

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3330
#36
3.50.5
3.63.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
4356
#28
7.71.0
5.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4154
#19
2.90.5
3.02.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
931
#10
7.10.8
5.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2838
#33
2.70.6
4.23.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
4402
#38
1.61.0
1.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End