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Red37
198710.3
42312.6
10948.7
Blue14
41874.0
41564.2
36865.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19130304050603714

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.30.9
10.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
3686
#21
5.20.1
4.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.70.9
6.27.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
4156
#25
4.20.1
3.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4231
#27
2.61.2
2.53.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
4187
#22
4.00.1
4.34.4
Auto
Teleop
End