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Red19
41564.2
17062.8
42466.3
Blue7
38624.7
44021.6
43305.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1214051020253035197

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4246
#24
6.30.4
5.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
4330
#18
5.80.4
7.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4156
#25
4.20.4
3.84.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3862
#37
4.70.4
5.24.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1706
#39
2.80.5
2.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
4402
#38
1.60.4
2.01.6
Auto
Teleop
End