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Red17
24084.4
43567.7
198710.3
Blue4
17236.0
11785.7
35191.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231401020304050174

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.30.3
11.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1723
#12
6.00.5
6.56.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4356
#28
7.70.4
6.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
5.70.6
5.44.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2408
#26
4.40.4
5.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1.50.6
1.91.3
Auto
Teleop
End