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Red35
128812.9
38683.8
18107.9
Blue33
38581.8
42568.8
198624.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2135010304050603533

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1288
#20
12.91.0
10.811.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
24.30.1
23.323.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1810
#16
7.90.7
6.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
4256
#17
8.80.1
9.79.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3868
#14
3.80.9
3.03.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3858
#41
1.80.1
1.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End