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Red39
38595.9
971B20.6
399B13.6
Blue59
28544.0
132332.2
8413.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222601030405060703959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971B
Unranked
20.66.8
20.613.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
1323
Unranked
32.21.7
21.323.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
399B
Unranked
13.63.9
13.69.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
2854
Unranked
4.01.7
2.33.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3859
Unranked
5.91.0
1.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
841
Unranked
3.51.7
2.23.9
Auto
Teleop
End