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Red32
166230.8
21352.5
399B13.6
Blue92
397018.1
207313.7
971B20.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394302060803292

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
Unranked
30.80.3
25.024.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
971B
Unranked
20.64.1
15.519.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
399B
Unranked
13.60.6
9.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
3970
Unranked
18.12.5
15.618.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2135
Unranked
2.50.3
3.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
2073
Unranked
13.72.5
11.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End