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Red15
42914.0
39715.8
33311.9
Blue16
14136.6
37634.7
23639.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9150203040501516

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3971
#23
5.82.6
5.83.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
2363
#24
9.30.0
10.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4291
#42
4.00.8
4.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1413
#19
6.60.0
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3331
#40
1.90.5
3.23.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
3763
#31
4.70.0
2.62.6
Auto
Teleop
End