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Red50
39715.8
9008.1
131116.8
Blue9
37963.2
38451.3
32703.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23601020304050509

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.81.3
14.215.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
3270
#33
3.60.3
2.93.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
900
#5
8.11.3
5.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
3796
#37
3.20.3
2.62.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3971
#23
5.82.2
3.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
3845
#47
1.30.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End