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Red33
20596.3
3379.9
319611.5
Blue14
39715.8
12496.0
33366.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2415010203040503314

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#11
11.50.4
9.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1249
#16
6.00.0
3.93.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
337
#15
9.90.4
9.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
3336
#39
6.00.0
4.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2059
#45
6.30.4
5.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3971
#23
5.80.0
5.85.7
Auto
Teleop
End