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Red35
15335.3
151913.7
131116.8
Blue15
32294.2
3379.9
264210.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332501020304050603515

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.1
15.715.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
2642
#22
10.30.5
10.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.70.1
12.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
337
#15
9.90.5
10.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1533
#38
5.30.1
5.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3229
#36
4.20.7
4.43.7
Auto
Teleop
End