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Red68
219412.5
246815.1
11125.8
Blue21
19375.6
7912.8
71415.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473602060801006821

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#48
25.81.0
23.424.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
714
#18
15.80.7
16.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2468
#38
15.11.0
13.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
79
#9
12.80.7
13.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2194
#80
12.51.0
10.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1937
#82
5.60.7
6.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End