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Red121
11832.3
219412.5
54831.0
Blue94
18116.8
151917.3
198332.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726520408010012012194

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#12
32.30.8
30.931.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1983
#15
32.10.5
31.632.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
548
#1
31.00.8
29.630.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
17.30.5
16.817.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2194
#80
12.50.8
11.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
181
#20
16.80.5
16.316.8
Auto
Teleop
End