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Red2
1512.2
151911.5
204.8
Blue6
11532.3
2135.7
1576.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1710020304026

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#11
11.51.2
7.76.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
157
#26
6.70.3
2.72.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20
#49
4.81.2
5.03.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
213
#25
5.70.3
3.02.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
151
#18
2.21.2
4.23.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1153
#35
2.30.3
4.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End