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Red5
12611.9
13074.7
18244.3
Blue26
10584.6
1667.0
1576.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1512051020253035526

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#4Sur
11.90.8
8.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
166
#40
7.01.2
4.05.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1307
#32
4.70.8
4.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
157
#26
6.71.2
2.33.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1824
#30
4.30.8
2.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1058
#43Sur
4.61.2
5.26.4
Auto
Teleop
End