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Red6
19224.2
11532.3
88510.6
Blue43
71615.8
279110.5
14937.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1419010304050643

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#19
10.60.6
6.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
716
#3
15.82.0
10.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1922
#45
4.20.6
2.82.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
2791
#15
10.52.0
5.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1153
#35
2.30.6
4.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
1493
#21
7.62.0
3.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End