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Red30
44034.7
15174.1
71615.8
Blue6
5014.8
12611.9
1512.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1916051025303540306

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#3
15.80.9
11.412.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
126
#4
11.90.8
7.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4403
#22
4.70.9
4.55.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
501
#37
4.80.8
5.24.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1517
#46
4.10.9
3.74.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
151
#18
2.20.8
3.12.3
Auto
Teleop
End