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Red40
18116.3
130212.5
22411.5
Blue20
31423.8
2236.4
36376.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31170102040504020

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.50.2
12.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
3637
#22
6.80.1
6.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
224
#2
11.50.2
11.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
223
#14
6.40.1
6.36.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1811
#12
6.30.2
6.56.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3.80.1
3.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End