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Red18
25542.7
130212.5
16722.4
Blue10
16267.0
3034.6
41285.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11140520253035401810

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.50.6
6.67.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1626
#19
7.00.4
4.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2554
#28
2.70.6
2.22.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
4128
#24
5.04.9
7.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1672
#23
2.40.6
2.53.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
303
#27
4.60.4
6.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End