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Red23
41285.0
36376.8
201617.1
Blue1
42810.4
2236.4
24583.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18110304050231

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#26
17.10.2
14.214.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
223
#14
6.40.8
4.43.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3637
#22
6.80.4
1.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2458
#33
3.90.8
4.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4128
#24
5.00.4
2.32.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
4281
#42
0.40.8
2.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End