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Red6
19891.9
1360.4
2236.4
Blue15
43475.1
2033.9
41285.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7705101520253035615

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#14
6.40.2
3.63.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
4347
#29
5.10.7
1.92.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1989
#25
1.90.2
3.63.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
4128
#24
5.00.7
2.73.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
136
#40
0.40.2
1.71.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
203
#16
3.90.7
2.53.2
Auto
Teleop
End