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Red23
201617.1
11439.3
10896.1
Blue35
2033.9
167621.4
42810.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2515010203040502335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#26
17.10.1
12.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
21.41.6
12.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1143
#18
9.30.1
7.57.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
203
#16
3.91.6
2.33.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1089
#13
6.10.2
5.35.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
4281
#42
0.41.6
0.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End