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Red28
3034.6
167621.4
18116.3
Blue15
16267.0
36376.8
18810.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29150102040502815

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.1
18.218.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
1626
#19
7.00.0
6.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1811
#12
6.30.1
7.06.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3637
#22
6.80.0
7.07.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
303
#27
4.60.1
4.04.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1881
#34
0.80.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End