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Red14
1023.4
167621.4
25774.2
Blue1
3034.6
140312.2
412.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171601020304050141

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.2
9.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
12.21.3
6.85.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2577
#20
4.20.2
4.34.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
303
#27
4.61.3
6.35.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
102
#32
3.40.2
2.72.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
41
#31
2.81.3
4.02.7
Auto
Teleop
End