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Red6
35154.3
25542.4
39299.4
Blue34
33402.2
24584.5
3037.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15805102025303540634

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3929
#34
9.40.5
5.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
303
#14
7.21.3
5.26.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3515
#35
4.30.5
5.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2458
#23
4.51.3
2.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2554
#39
2.40.5
3.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3340
#24
2.21.3
0.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End