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Red10
192310.9
33149.2
25775.2
Blue18
127914.9
42855.1
140316.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23290102040501018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#21
10.90.7
11.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
16.40.5
12.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.20.7
8.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
1279
#13
14.90.5
11.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2577
#16
5.20.7
4.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4285
#40
5.10.5
4.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End