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Red15
192310.9
35154.3
5559.4
Blue25
1025.6
31425.9
33149.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23170102030401525

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#21
10.90.4
10.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
9.20.4
9.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
555
#15
9.40.4
7.57.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
3142
#38
5.90.4
2.63.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3515
#35
4.30.4
5.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
102
#19
5.60.4
4.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End