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Red5
12575.5
42810.9
24584.5
Blue24
33402.2
13674.4
140316.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11170203040524

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1257
#26
5.50.3
5.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
16.40.3
13.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2458
#23
4.50.3
4.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1367
#17
4.40.3
2.83.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4281
#36
0.90.3
1.00.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3340
#24
2.20.3
1.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End