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Red6
19891.3
7521.1
5559.4
Blue17
140316.4
36376.5
25542.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1223020304050617

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#15
9.40.3
7.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
16.40.3
13.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1989
#30
1.30.3
2.21.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
6.50.3
6.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
752
#29
1.10.3
2.11.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2554
#39
2.40.3
2.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End