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Red2
2045.9
16266.1
31512.8
Blue28
878.9
1362.2
2239.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1217010203040228

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#23
6.10.5
5.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
223
#8
9.70.6
7.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
204
#16
5.90.5
3.93.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
87
#6
8.90.6
9.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3151
#31
2.80.5
2.31.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
136
#35
2.20.6
0.51.0
Auto
Teleop
End