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Red49
22412.8
218016.5
164012.9
Blue26
42312.0
21915.8
81613.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372201030506070804926

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.6
14.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
816
#27
13.50.2
10.110.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1640
#11
12.90.6
10.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
423
#14
12.00.2
8.38.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
224
#28
12.80.6
12.513.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
2191
#10
5.80.2
3.63.8
Auto
Teleop
End