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Red18
81613.5
31675.4
18075.7
Blue42
397410.4
24956.7
36074.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221701030405060701842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
#27
13.50.2
10.310.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3974
#25
10.41.3
9.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1807
#19
5.70.2
6.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2495
#37
6.71.3
5.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3167
#29
5.40.2
5.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3607
#38
4.01.3
1.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End