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Red33
3047.1
31512.8
13708.6
Blue17
22412.8
24956.7
31675.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1626010203040503317

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1370
#17
8.60.8
5.56.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
224
#28
12.80.4
14.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
304
#32
7.10.8
8.69.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2495
#37
6.70.4
6.96.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3151
#31
2.80.8
2.12.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
3167
#29
5.40.4
5.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End