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Red50
397410.4
218016.5
10319.3
Blue70
259015.2
81613.5
36524.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46510204060805070

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#18
19.30.1
19.219.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
365
#3
24.40.3
23.924.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
16.50.1
16.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
15.20.3
14.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3974
#25
10.40.1
10.410.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
816
#27
13.50.3
13.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End