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Red25
34536.7
37165.4
10118.3
Blue38
9688.1
166112.7
248514.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1626010203040502538

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#17
8.30.4
5.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
14.80.6
10.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3453
#20
6.70.4
5.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
12.70.6
8.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3716
#35
5.40.4
5.15.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
968
#25
8.11.0
7.18.1
Auto
Teleop
End