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Red4
23755.1
34866.0
40432.3
Blue37
43451.8
98732.8
182810.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173201040506070437

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3486
#33
6.00.6
5.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.9
987
#1
32.80.2
22.122.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5.10.6
6.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
10.40.2
8.89.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4043
#22
2.30.6
5.14.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
4345
#15
1.80.2
1.71.9
Auto
Teleop
End