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Red9
17805.7
13775.2
24969.7
Blue28
248514.8
34536.7
8778.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2024010304050928

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2496
#11
9.70.5
9.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
14.80.2
11.812.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1780
#41
5.70.8
5.74.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
877
#13
8.30.2
6.36.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5.20.5
4.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3453
#20
6.70.2
6.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End